Screen Actors Guild Awards and Golden Globes have been handed out, Oscars voters’ pencils are down, and the Academy Awards race is about to get very real.
Oscar nominations for the March 4 ceremony will be handed out Tuesday morning, kicking off a new phase of awards season with snubs, surprises and plenty of things to argue about for the next month and a half.
Assessing the race so far, let’s look at the major Oscar categories and break down the contenders from the pretenders.
BEST PICTURE
The best: After taking the best-drama Globe and cast SAG honor, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is as close as we have to a front-runner, so barring something bizarre happening, that’s definitely getting a nomination. Not too far behind is The Shape of Water, armed with Critics’ Choice and Producers Guild victories for best film. And since 2012, the Directors Guild of America nominees have all ended up getting a best-picture nod, which bodes well for not only Three Billboards and Shape but also Globe winner Lady Bird, Dunkirk and Get Out.
The rest: Recent years have seen the Academy pick eight or nine films (the maximum is 10), which means SAG-nominated Mudbound and The Big Sick, as well as Globe nominees I, Tonya, The Post and Call Me By Your Name, are all in the mix. Plus, with their Producers Guild nominations, don’t count out Wonder Woman or Molly’s Game, and Darkest Hour and The Florida Project as dark horses.
ACTOR
The best: Transformed into Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour, Gary Oldman is rolling like a tank over the competition with SAG, Critics’ Choice and Globe wins — and his path looks clear to Oscar, too. It’s safe to predict he’s getting a nod, as is Call Me By Your Name breakout Timothée Chalamet, and the Oscars will likely give retiring Phantom Thread star Daniel Day-Lewis one for the road.
The rest: The final two could be picked from Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out), Denzel…
The post Oscars nominations 2018: Who’s in for sure — and who may get snubbed appeared first on FeedBox.